MURFREESBORO — Tennessee business leaders have a much more favorable view of economic conditions heading into fall and winter, reveals results from the latest Tennessee Business Barometer Survey by MTSU’s Jones College of Business.
The latest statewide index, which measures business leaders' perceptions of the current and future economy, produced a score of 476, up 33 points from the spring survey. The inaugural survey in July 2015 registered an index of 325.
Conducted in partnership with the Tennessee Chamber of Commerce & Industry, the Tennessee Business Barometer is an online opinion survey that now tracks an overall index and three sub-indices:
• Current outlook
• Future outlook
• Business/firm performance.
Index scores are calculated from the percentages of positive and negative responses to more than a dozen questions about perceptions of the economy.
“Business sentiment continues to improve, now at a three-year high of 42%. That’s in contrast to Tennessee consumers, whose positive sentiment is only at 17%,” noted Michael Peasley, assistant professor of marketing and director of the university’s Office of Consumer Research, which oversees the index. “Tennessee business leaders appear to be more positive and more optimistic about the current and future health of the economy.”
Other highlights highlighted by Peasley:
• 43% of business leaders expect economic conditions to improve over the next 12 months.
• 49% of business leaders believe economic conditions in their industry are good and 46% expect conditions to improve over the next 12 months.
Peasley also noted business leader concerns have diminished.
“Tennessee business leaders provided feedback on many challenges and key indicators for predicting economic growth related to inflation, staffing, etc. While the fear of a recession has increased slightly and is now over 50%, concerns about inflation, taxes, and staffing have all decreased over the last year,” he noted.
Survey results show:
• Almost 60% of business leaders said they expect their firm sales to increase this year (8.7% expect a decrease).
• 43.5% of business leaders said they expect their firm’s inventories to increase this year (9% expect a decrease).
• 44.6% of business leaders said their number of employees will increase this year, while roughly 10% said their employee count will decrease and 42% said it will stay the same.
Full Tennessee Business Barometer survey report and previous reports.